Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 2:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.0, VGK 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 28, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.0 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Chandler Stephenson (1 G), 3. Evgenii Dadonov (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Theodore1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Stephenson1 G

- ★★★E. Dadonov1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-06:18
1-113:51
2nd period
2-12:57
3rd period
2-22:05
2-32:54
3-313:36
Overtime
3-42:09
Penalties
2nd
- 0:40
Garnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
- 18:57
Evgenii Dadonov · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
3rd
- 2:31
Nic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shea Theodore, OT 2:09 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.0
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 1.98
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 37
- Hits
- 30
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 3
- Giveaways
- 5
- 2
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
VGK leads 2-0
1@
0Final
3@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
