Florida Panthers at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 0:20. The Islanders scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 0:20 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 42, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (39 saves, .929), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (3 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Barkov3 G

- ★★I. Sorokin39 saves, .929

- ★★★J. Huberdeau3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-14:56
1-114:12
3rd period
1-21:01
2-216:02
Overtime
3-20:20
Penalties
1st
- 12:58
Sergei Bobrovsky · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
- 15:43
Matt Martin · Interferencedrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
2nd
- 12:41
Andy Greene · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
- 17:16
Mathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
3rd
- 0:55
MacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 10:14
Kieffer Bellows · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
- 14:34
Kyle Palmieri · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 14:49
MacKenzie Weegar · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
- 14:49
MacKenzie Weegar · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 0:20 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 4.62 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 5.54 – 2.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/3
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 16
- Hits
- 24
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 16
- Giveaways
- 19
- 3
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
