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Panthers at Islanders
NHL

Florida Panthers at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV MSG+, BSFL·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Islanders 3-2 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 0:20. The Islanders scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 0:20 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 42, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (39 saves, .929), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin39 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA01211711211342
NYINYI051121900226

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:56
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(35)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    14:12

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(16)PPG
    M. Barzal (38), N. Dobson (32)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    1:01
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.35win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    16:02

Overtime

  1. FLA
    backhandxG 0.43win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:20

Penalties

FLA 16 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:58FLASergei Bobrovsky · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 15:43NYIMatt Martin · Interferencedrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

2nd

  • 12:41NYIAndy Greene · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 17:16NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min

3rd

  • 0:55FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:14NYIKieffer Bellows · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 14:34NYIKyle Palmieri · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:49FLAMacKenzie Weegar · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 14:49FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalFLA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 0:20 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.26Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.25J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.20J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYI
5.73 G
All situations
2 G3.0
4.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA83%17%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.54 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYI
42
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
24
8
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011+130.26030—22:57
16A. BarkovC303+140.951008821:39
11J. HuberdeauL033+110.23010—20:46
62B. MontourD000020.36020—20:20
13S. ReinhartC000020.29000019:07
28C. GirouxR011-130.200004418:44
8B. ChiarotD000050.37200—18:10
52M. WeegarD000-110.070014—17:32
17M. MarchmentL000060.75410—16:24
10A. DuclairL000040.36100—15:46
7R. GudasD011+110.01300—15:42
15A. LundellC000030.610102315:40
9S. BennettC000010.070005515:38
23C. VerhaegheC000020.51000014:54
70P. HornqvistR000030.44100—12:14
18R. HaggD000000.03200—11:28
27E. LuostarinenC000000.000002910:11
98M. MaminC000010.17200009:52
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)26242.9232.96+0.9660:10

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).