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Hurricanes at Coyotes
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV BSAZX, BSSO·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Galchenyuk's goal at 18:42 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 13% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 51, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 46 of 51 (.902), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Capobianco (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    K. Capobianco2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR115324112551
ARIARI0731405326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(20)
    B. Skjei (26), M. Necas (23)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:01

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:47
  2. CAR
    M. Domi(10)
    N. Niederreiter (19), B. Pesce (20)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    4:43
  3. ARI
    N. Ritchie(12)
    N. Smith (1), P. Kessel (39)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    6:32
  4. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(23)
    M. Domi (28), B. Pesce (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:52
  5. ARI
    L. Eriksson(3)
    K. Capobianco (4), A. Ladd (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    16:15
  6. ARI
    A. Galchenyuk(6)
    K. Capobianco (5), T. Boyd (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    18:42

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(36)
    S. Jarvis (21), J. Slavin (37)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    8:10

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:32CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 1:07CARTeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Nate Smith2 min
  • 8:22ARIBarrett Hayton · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 10:09CARMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 15:03CARSeth Jarvis · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCAR goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Galchenyuk, 2nd 18:42 — ARI 13% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.18B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eriksson · Goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.09J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.09L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.03V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsARI
3.95 G
All situations
3 G2.1
3.75 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR76%24%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsARI
51
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD022+130.04130—23:45
76B. SkjeiD011+220.03010—23:04
74J. SlavinD011050.11010—23:01
77T. DeAngeloD000020.13020—20:52
16V. TrocheckC101+150.624105519:04
88M. NecasC011+120.1310010017:55
20S. AhoC101060.760006517:24
86T. TeravainenC000010.10002017:19
37A. SvechnikovR000+130.15412—16:28
71J. FastR101+210.0401010015:24
24S. JarvisR011-110.18112—14:18
7B. SmithD000+130.38400—13:57
25E. BearD000030.04100—13:41
48J. MartinookL000-120.12200—11:53
21N. NiederreiterR112+220.4000010011:47
13M. DomiC112+250.360024411:40
18D. StepanC000-120.140004011:09
78S. LorentzC000030.212105009:19
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)26233.8852.10-0.9060:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).