San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 13:32 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 24, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (23 saves, .958), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Luke Glendening (1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Oettinger23 saves, .958

- ★★T. Seguin1 G

- ★★★L. Glendening1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-15:55
2nd period
0-213:32
1-219:23
Penalties
2nd
- 4:58
Jasper Weatherby · Holding the stickdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min
- 12:50
Jacob Peterson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Merkley2 min
3rd
- 14:41
Jason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Michael Raffl, 2nd 13:32 — 68% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.7
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 19
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 9
- Giveaways
- 5
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
