Skip to content

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSWX·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the San Jose Sharks 2-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 13:32 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 24, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (23 saves, .958), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Luke Glendening (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    L. Glendening1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS091906124
DALDAL1811008226

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (28), R. Suter (25)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:55

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Raffl(7)SHG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    13:32
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:23

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:58SJSJasper Weatherby · Holding the stickdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min
  • 12:50DALJacob Peterson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Merkley2 min

3rd

  • 14:41DALJason Robertson · Hookingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSJS goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 2nd 13:32 — DAL 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.30J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.23A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.16M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.14M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.14J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.14T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsDAL
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS36%64%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-120.12110—25:38
53N. MelocheD000010.05110—20:31
48T. HertlC000010.272103619:51
28T. MeierR101040.1941010019:45
24J. MegnaD000000.00120—19:44
38M. FerraroD011+100.01330—19:39
39L. CoutureC000010.010004818:31
55S. ChmelevskiC000-130.162002916:56
92R. BalcersL000010.15110—16:55
13N. BoninoC000020.32020016:46
83M. NietoL000000.05010—16:44
6R. MerkleyD011030.04110—16:40
73N. GregorL000-130.19110—15:23
76J. DahlenC000010.09010014:52
44M. VlasicD000-100.00210—13:26
54S. ReedyC000-120.191106712:10
26J. WeatherbyC000-100.000022908:07
63J. VielL000000.00000—07:51
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(L)26242.9232.74+0.7458:31

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).