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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

FinalTV BSDET, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 3:46 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 1.0; shots on goal were DET 20, NYR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.8 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (2 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Igor Shesterkin (20 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin20 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0301106020
NYRNYR11718212437

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    13:44

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (49), A. Fox (58)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:46

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    4:37
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.06
    0-4
    14:17

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:48DETThomas Greiss · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:19DETSam Gagner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:43DETDanny DeKeyser · High stickingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

2nd

  • 11:58DETMoritz Seider · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 18:58NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 3:46 — NYR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.20M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.17B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.15R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
1.00 G
All situations
4 G3.2
0.80 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET13%87%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.02 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
20
Shots on goal
37
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
9
2
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18M. StaalD000-110.00300—20:52
17F. HronekD000-120.11130—20:41
53M. SeiderD000-200.02222—20:37
65D. DeKeyserD000-200.00102—19:25
28G. LindstromD000010.00000—18:27
8J. WalmanD000030.20150—18:09
24P. SuterC000000.000204217:55
11F. ZadinaR000020.11000—17:52
71D. LarkinC000-320.194005817:40
59T. BertuzziL000-220.04020—17:24
89S. GagnerC000020.05002015:54
15J. VranaL000-120.05010—15:52
23L. RaymondL000-310.01100—14:52
27M. RasmussenC000010.090007514:38
90J. VelenoC000010.155001314:00
73A. ErneL000000.00000—11:36
22M. StephensC000000.000003310:28
46C. PearsonC000000.00000006:42
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)37334.8923.23-0.7760:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).