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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 4:25 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 20, MTL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 44 of 44 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Carey Price stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (44 saves, 1.000), 2. Carey Price (17 saves, .895), 3. Noah Dobson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin44 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Price17 saves, .895
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI080438320
MTLMTL014016014044

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +27 pts
    1-0
    4:25
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    6:09
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(34)EN
    A. Lee (17), K. Palmieri (16)
    wristxG 0.57win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    18:21

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·MTL 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:26NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 17:08NYIMathew Barzal · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 19:53NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 19:53MTLMichael Pezzetta · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 13:50MTLRem Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 19:18MTLJoel Edmundson · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 19:18NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Joel Edmundson5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 3rd 4:25 — NYI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.17C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.13J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.11A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.08J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schueneman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 2.7 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
2.22 G
All situations
0 G2.7
1.12 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI29%71%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
20
Shots on goal
44
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
24
30
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD101+220.08130—22:12
6R. PulockD000+100.01250—21:10
4A. GreeneD000010.02250—20:48
3A. PelechD000+100.00130—20:07
33Z. CharaD000+200.00240—18:22
44J. PageauC000020.365203718:13
11Z. PariseL101+120.33110—17:37
13M. BarzalC011+130.182021717:19
21K. PalmieriC011+130.0521010016:12
7G. HuttonD000000.00120—15:26
12J. BaileyR000010.08000—15:22
18A. BeauvillierR000010.07100—15:06
29B. NelsonC112+220.630004015:02
20K. BellowsL011+110.16620—14:23
53C. CizikasC000+100.001006014:16
27A. LeeL011+110.08204—13:37
17M. MartinL000+110.11215—11:39
26O. WahlstromR000000.00010—07:09
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)444401.0002.73+2.7360:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).