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Capitals at Maple Leafs
NHL

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
FinalTV NBCSWA, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Washington Capitals 7-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 13:45 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 25, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.4 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (2 G), 2. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G), 3. William Nylander (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Bunting2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    I. Mikheyev2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH04210111325
TORTOR21141516732

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Bunting(21)
    M. Marner (60), A. Matthews (42)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:37
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(29)
    P. Engvall (16), J. Muzzin (11)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:45

2nd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:06
  2. TOR
    I. Lyubushkin(1)
    M. Rielly (54), J. Tavares (44)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    10:19
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(30)
    M. Rielly (55)
    slapxG 0.42win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:37
  4. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(16)
    A. Matthews (43), J. Tavares (45)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    14:44
  5. TOR
    M. Bunting(22)
    P. Engvall (17)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    16:25
  6. WSH
    T. Wilson(24)
    L. Eller (16), J. Carlson (51)
    slapxG 0.13
    2-6
    19:07

3rd period

  1. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(17)
    I. Lyubushkin (11), J. Tavares (46)
    backhandxG 0.09
    2-7
    1:27
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(9)
    T. van Riemsdyk (15), J. Larsson (12)
    wristxG 0.12
    3-7
    11:58

Penalties

WSH 17 PIM·TOR 15 PIM

1st

  • 9:56TORAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 15:26WSHTom Wilson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jack Campbell2 min
  • 17:59WSHT.J. Oshie · Roughingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min
  • 19:42TORTimothy Liljegren · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 2:33WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 9:24WSHMatt Irwin · Roughingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
  • 9:24TORPierre Engvall · Roughingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 12:29WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 12:29TORKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 17:16TORJake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:42WSHJustin Schultz · Trippingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min

3rd

  • 3:09TORMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 16:41WSHNicklas Backstrom · Holdingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWSH goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 1st 13:45 — TOR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.42A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.23P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.21A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.14M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.13M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.13W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · Goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR7 G · 3.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTOR
2.43 G
All situations
7 G3.8
2.03 G
Even strength
7 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH27%73%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
0/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
39
Hits
43
13
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD112010.23200—23:05
57T. van RiemsdykD011-210.01130—21:03
3N. JensenD000000.00610—20:39
42M. FehérváryD000-210.03520—20:18
77T. OshieR000-230.602125017:35
92E. KuznetsovC000-210.082002716:50
19N. BackstromC000-100.002026716:43
2J. SchultzD000-300.03032—16:01
8A. OvechkinL000-110.21400—15:40
26N. DowdC101-130.253001814:38
43T. WilsonR101+130.46317—14:17
39A. ManthaR000000.0021010014:04
90M. JohanssonL000-220.17100—13:54
20L. EllerC011010.051004713:27
52M. IrwinD000-110.02202—13:11
21G. HathawayR000-130.16212—13:05
22J. LarssonL011-110.02100—11:49
73C. ShearyL000-230.09000—11:41
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)19154.7892.57-1.4330:37
41V. Vanecek13103.7691.24-1.7629:23

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).