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Oilers at Predators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Nashville Predators
0
FinalTV BSSO, SNW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 4-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 12:36 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.6, NSH 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 32, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (3 G), 2. Mike Smith (30 saves, 1.000), 3. Connor McDavid (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Smith30 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11321316432
NSHNSH08010012030

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(52)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (35), C. McDavid (67)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    8:56

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(53)
    Z. Hyman (26)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    12:36
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(9)SHG
    E. Kane (14), C. Ceci (22)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    15:29

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(54)PPG
    C. McDavid (68), R. Nugent-Hopkins (36)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    11:09

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:30NSHAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 12:20NSHLuke Kunin · Interferencedrawn by Zack Kassian2 min

2nd

  • 2:09EDMWarren Foegele · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 13:24NSHTanner Jeannot · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 14:27EDMConnor McDavid · Roughingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 9:41NSHJeremy Lauzon · Holdingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 13:09EDMBrett Kulak · Hookingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalEDM goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 12:36 — EDM 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.19M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.15M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.04M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNSH
2.64 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.61 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
31
7
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022000.000006021:15
97C. McDavidC022030.230025320:52
25D. NurseD101+230.25210—20:51
91E. KaneL011+140.51400—20:16
5C. CeciD011+110.02100—19:25
75E. BouchardD000+130.11400—18:43
29L. DraisaitlC303+240.640003918:38
18Z. HymanL011+120.214105017:33
2D. KeithD000010.04010—16:06
22T. BarrieD000010.02000—15:40
13J. PuljujarviR000020.18110—15:31
56K. YamamotoR000000.00210—15:06
10D. RyanC000000.062006214:31
71R. McLeodC000000.002004312:09
37W. FoegeleL000040.25302—12:07
44Z. KassianR000+110.02100—11:57
27B. KulakD000020.04102—11:57
6K. RussellD000010.06320—11:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)303001.0002.55+2.5559:53

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).