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New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars

FinalTV MSG+, BSSWX·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Stars scored first; the Devils answered. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 18:49 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 23, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nico Daws (27 saves, .964), 3. Jake Oettinger (20 saves, .870).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Daws27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger20 saves, .870

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD070739323
DALDAL0911306128

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Suter(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    13:31

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:26
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.14win prob +45 pts
    2-1
    18:49
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    18:59

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:20NJDDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 16:24DALRyan Suter · Cross checkingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min

2nd

  • 1:53NJDA.J. Greer · Hookingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
  • 9:59DALMarián Studenic · Trippingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 10:10NJDPavel Zacha · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 12:38NJDJesper Boqvist · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 16:39NJDserved by A. Johnsson · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:01DALMiro Heiskanen · Slashingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 7:54NJDAndreas Johnsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNJD goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, 3rd 18:49 — NJD 48% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.11A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08M. Studenic · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07M. Studenic · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDAL
2.23 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33R. GravesD000+100.01040—25:36
28D. SeversonD011+200.00012—24:45
17Y. SharangovichC000+220.18000021:21
13N. HischierC112+220.161005220:25
18D. MercerC000040.131001719:10
7D. HamiltonD000+130.20210—18:34
63J. BrattL000010.09100—17:26
76P. SubbanD000010.04010—17:12
88K. BahlD011+100.00010—15:48
37P. ZachaC101+130.360024314:57
90T. TatarL000030.4511010014:53
59J. KuokkanenC000+100.00000014:45
24T. SmithD101+110.33000—14:14
70J. BoqvistC011+110.060023013:05
49F. ZetterlundL022+220.17000—13:03
11A. JohnssonL000000.00002—09:41
20M. McLeodC000000.003005509:02
42A. GreerL000000.00002—05:19
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(W)28271.9642.62+1.6259:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).