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Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSD·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gerry Mayhew's goal at 1:05 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 9% to 24%. Expected goals were close — ANA 1.8, SJS 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 28, SJS 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.0 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (3 G), 2. Alexander Barabanov (2 A), 3. James Reimer (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Meier3 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Reimer27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0801218128
SJSSJS1618210424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:48

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:41

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:05
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(29)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    3:56
  3. SJS
    T. Hertl (28), B. Burns (36)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    15:55

Penalties

ANA 15 PIM·SJS 17 PIM

1st

  • 3:50SJSRyan Merkley · Holdingdrawn by Vinni Lettieri2 min
  • 11:13SJSNicolas Meloche · High stickingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

2nd

  • 6:42SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 6:42ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 7:23ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 10:44SJSTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 16:02ANAJosh Mahura · Holding the stickdrawn by Lane Pederson2 min

3rd

  • 2:54ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:18ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Lane Pederson2 min
  • 18:18ANAJamie Drysdale · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 18:18SJSJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 18:18SJSJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 19:21SJSSasha Chmelevski · Slashingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Gerry Mayhew, 3rd 1:05 — ANA 9% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reedy · Missed · xG 0.32T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.11N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.08E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · Goal · xG 0.07N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.05R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.04S. Chmelevski · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.04J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Chmelevski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.01L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
1.81 G
All situations
4 G2.0
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA47%53%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
24
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
1/3
15
Penalty minutes
17
12
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.05020—25:11
22K. ShattenkirkD000-150.15132—22:06
34J. DrysdaleD000-110.17002—20:36
38D. GrantC000-130.191105419:50
46T. ZegrasC000-120.310027519:43
19T. TerryR000-120.06000—18:30
26G. MayhewC101+130.36110017:32
86S. BenoitD000020.10300—17:01
92A. SustrD000000.00110—16:59
15R. GetzlafC000+110.010026016:33
51D. SimonC011+110.11010015:25
76J. MahuraD000-110.00002—14:21
21I. LundestromC000010.041103313:56
16Z. Aston-ReeseL000020.22320—13:18
23S. SteelC000-210.020006012:30
39S. CarrickC000000.000056711:42
44M. ComtoisL000-200.0010010011:29
28V. LettieriC000-220.01000008:50
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)24204.8331.96-2.0459:26

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).