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New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The Devils scored first; the Capitals answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 6:56 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 38, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.9 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD010212116338
WSHWSH071936422

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:55
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:47
  3. NJD
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:17

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:08
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:56
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    11:48
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    3-4
    19:28

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·WSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:27WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 17:45NJDRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 6:12NJDMichael McLeod · Roughingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 6:12WSHNick Jensen · Elbowingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 6:12WSHNick Jensen · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
  • 6:12NJDMichael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Nick Jensen5 min
  • 19:05WSHJohn Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 10:40NJDTy Smith · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNJD goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, 3rd 6:56 — WSH 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.23A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.18C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.11G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWSH
3.43 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD72%28%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.36 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWSH
38
Shots on goal
22
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD101+240.20110—25:01
86J. HughesC112+130.490103823:33
7D. HamiltonD000+120.11110—22:10
13N. HischierC011+140.552005721:19
63J. BrattL101040.40100—20:52
33R. GravesD011-120.05202—20:03
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.03210—19:36
17Y. SharangovichC011030.350005019:12
18D. MercerC011040.170103318:29
76P. SubbanD000040.18100—16:14
24T. SmithD000-120.08112—15:58
90T. TatarL000010.1810010015:31
11A. JohnssonL000000.0820010013:49
16J. VeseyL000020.1500010013:14
70J. BoqvistC011010.200006012:46
14N. BastianR000+100.163003309:25
20M. McLeodC000-110.020178306:08
42A. GreerL000-100.00310—06:03
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws(L)22184.8182.08-1.9257:29

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).