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Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 12:04 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — PHI 3.2, STL 3.4; shots on goal were PHI 27, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 G), 2. Hayden Hodgson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam York (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    H. Hodgson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. York2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2911127527
STLSTL04212012228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:37
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:51

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    1:47
  2. PHI
    K. Hayes (12), C. York (5)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:04
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    16:00

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    11:34
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.88win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:20

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:40STLDavid Perron · Holding the stickdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 2:45PHIOwen Tippett · Hookingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

2nd

  • 1:12PHICam York · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 6:15STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holding the stickdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 12:29PHIZack MacEwen · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 17:51PHIJoel Farabee · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 17:51STLNiko Mikkola · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 18:43STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

3rd

  • 12:34STLserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 12:04 — PHI 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.11N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.10N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSTL
3.24 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.54 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI32%68%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
22
9
Blocked shots
5
4
Giveaways
8
14
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+120.10110—21:49
45C. YorkD022+110.10012—20:33
13K. HayesR022+220.260003320:13
89C. AtkinsonR000000.17000—20:10
6T. SanheimD000+310.08010—19:35
74O. TippettR011010.10002—18:13
70R. RistolainenD000+330.12300—17:58
48M. FrostC000020.090006017:50
11T. KonecnyR202+320.16100—17:03
42H. HodgsonR112+310.16400—16:23
86J. FarabeeL101+151.310122516:12
38P. BrownC101+110.100106715:05
25J. van RiemsdykL011010.17000—14:52
24N. SeelerD000+100.00120—13:21
71M. WillmanC000010.08100013:01
3K. YandleD000020.04000—11:08
17Z. MacEwenR000+120.15222—10:52
8K. ConnautonD011000.00000—09:07
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones(W)28262.9293.40+1.4060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).