Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 2:10. The Flyers scored first; the Canadiens answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 2:10 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.0, PHI 3.3; shots on goal were MTL 35, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (2 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Giroux1 G

- ★★★N. Suzuki2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-17:00
2nd period
1-12:18
1-27:11
2-28:18
3rd period
2-32:41
3-319:17
Overtime
4-32:10
Penalties
1st
- 0:20
Mike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
- 10:34
Justin Braun · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
2nd
- 1:09
Claude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 12:34
Travis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 18:41
Derick Brassard · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
3rd
- 19:00
Chris Wideman · Interferencedrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 2:10 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.04 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 2.32 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.6
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.01 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 3.28
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 29
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 9
- Giveaways
- 5
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-1
2@
3SOFinal
4@
3OTthis game
6@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
