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New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 8:07 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 26% to 44%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYR 25, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 3. Cam Talbot (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Talbot23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0627012225
MINMIN26311011528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:38
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:41

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    5:03
  2. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:07
  3. MIN
    K. Fiala(19)PPG
    M. Boldy (12), M. Foligno (12)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    9:13
  4. MIN
    M. Dumba (17), J. Brodin (19)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    13:06
  5. MIN
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:44

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·MIN 0 PIM

2nd

  • 7:26NYRPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNYR goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 2nd 8:07 — NYR 26% → 44%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.34M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.25K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.20J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.11M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.08N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.08N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsMIN
1.72 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR23%77%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/0
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
18
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-110.02500—23:00
8J. TroubaD000010.01030—22:01
23A. FoxD000-130.07000—19:31
45B. SchneiderD000-100.00020—18:51
12P. NemethD000-200.01602—18:48
10A. PanarinL011-120.15000—18:04
55R. LindgrenD000+110.02000—17:49
21B. GoodrowC000+110.061004417:33
16R. StromeC011010.230004017:26
29D. HuntL101-120.20020—16:45
13A. LafrenièreL000-130.16020—15:32
72F. ChytilC000-120.080106715:15
93M. ZibanejadC101-110.270103615:11
20C. KreiderL000-210.03000—14:27
15J. GauthierR000010.04200—12:59
76J. BrodzinskiC000040.221005012:35
75R. ReavesR000-100.15300—12:06
26T. GettingerL000010.02000—10:20
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)28235.8213.35-1.6560:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).