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New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MSG+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 6:21 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 76% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 22, WPG 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 45 of 46 (.978), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (2 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (45 saves, .978), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin45 saves, .978
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Trouba1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR290726422
WPGWPG016113017146

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:01
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(37)PPG
    A. Panarin (45), A. Fox (48)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    17:28

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(14)PPG
    A. Copp (19), N. Pionk (23)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    13:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    6:21
  2. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    9:32

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:59NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 11:58NYRFilip Chytil · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 15:05WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 17:11WPGLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 18:18NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 12:54NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:48NYRJonny Brodzinski · High stickingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

3rd

  • 19:00NYRPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 6:21 — NYR 76% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.27P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.18B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.15P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01K. Vesalainen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.00P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 3.4 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWPG
1.64 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR21%79%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
46
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011000.00020—22:13
16R. StromeC000020.150003622:03
8J. TroubaD112+210.07322—20:38
10A. PanarinL022+100.02000—19:50
55R. LindgrenD000000.00022—19:41
93M. ZibanejadC011+250.142003819:24
79K. MillerD000+100.00210—18:33
21B. GoodrowC101+110.091205017:54
45B. SchneiderD000+220.07200—17:49
20C. KreiderL202+150.50000—16:57
29D. HuntL000+110.05400—15:23
76J. BrodzinskiC000+100.010023315:21
72F. ChytilC011+130.27012014:05
13A. LafrenièreL011+110.09002—13:42
12P. NemethD000+100.01002—12:48
75R. ReavesR000000.08200—09:47
25L. HajekD000010.04000—07:52
26T. GettingerL000000.00200—06:27
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)46451.9783.37+2.3759:53

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).