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Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 8:28 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.1, PHI 2.1; shots on goal were CHI 29, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.9 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Derick Brassard (1 G), 3. Joel Farabee (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    D. Brassard1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01031207329
PHIPHI1121728427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:46

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:24
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (39), D. Kubalik (10)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:39
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:28
  4. CHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:15

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:09
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +30 pts
    3-4
    8:28

Penalties

CHI 16 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:12CHIConnor Murphy · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 3:50CHIserved by T. Johnson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:28CHIJonathan Toews · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 15:28PHIDerick Brassard · Roughingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 15:28CHICalvin de Haan · Roughingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

3rd

  • 11:49PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 11:49CHIConnor Murphy · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 11:49PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 11:49CHICaleb Jones · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 12:42PHIOskar Lindblom · High stickingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 12:42CHISeth Jones · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 12:42PHIOskar Lindblom · High stickingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 18:34CHIserved by D. Kubalik · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCHI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 8:28 — PHI 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.17C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.17R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsPHI
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.1
2.03 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI52%48%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/4
16
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-110.09012—24:00
44C. de HaanD000-130.06432—21:29
88P. KaneR011-110.23100—21:04
5C. MurphyD000030.08444—20:10
12A. DeBrincatR101010.17400—19:44
82C. JonesD000000.00232—19:31
17D. StromeC202060.620002917:45
19J. ToewsC011-130.190025517:26
6J. McCabeD000010.03200—16:46
61R. StillmanD000000.08100—15:51
38B. HagelL000020.09100—15:32
8D. KubalikL011-130.21120—15:15
77K. DachC000010.112105014:03
90T. JohnsonC000010.02200012:31
22R. CarpenterC000010.040005712:05
24S. LaffertyC000000.00400011:28
23P. KurashevC000020.0900010010:32
58M. EntwistleR000000.00500—08:40
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)27234.8522.06-1.9458:47

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).