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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robby Fabbri's goal at 7:16 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 34% to 46%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were DET 25, FLA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.4 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1904112225
FLAFLA316310013639

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Marchment(13)
    M. Weegar (27), A. Barkov (25)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:10
  2. DET
    R. Fabbri(16)
    D. DeKeyser (6), G. Lindstrom (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:16
  3. FLA
    A. Duclair(21)PPG
    S. Reinhart (33), A. Barkov (26)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-2
    11:00
  4. FLA
    A. Lundell(13)PPG
    S. Bennett (11), B. Montour (17)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    18:02

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(24)
    J. Huberdeau (58), M. Weegar (28)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    7:54
  2. FLA
    L. Carlsson(3)
    C. Verhaeghe (25), A. Barkov (27)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    11:01
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(14)
    F. Vatrano (9), S. Reinhart (34)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    16:13

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(24)
    J. Veleno (5)
    wristxG 0.06
    2-6
    14:46

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:09DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 13:24FLAMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 15:36DETSam Gagner · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 17:32DETMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

2nd

  • 5:49FLAEetu Luostarinen · Interferencedrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Robby Fabbri, 1st 7:16 — DET 34% → 46%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.25A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.19S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.19B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA6 G · 3.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
1.82 G
All situations
6 G3.7
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET19%81%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 3.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000030.35330—24:06
2N. LeddyD000-100.00010—23:24
17F. HronekD000-200.01100—19:46
59T. BertuzziL101+130.15100—18:51
71D. LarkinC000-150.462222517:52
14R. FabbriC101+110.09010017:40
65D. DeKeyserD011+100.01210—17:34
18M. StaalD000-200.02312—17:11
23L. RaymondL000-110.01010—17:06
28G. LindstromD011000.00020—15:58
90J. VelenoC011+100.001004215:26
24P. SuterC000-120.170104314:39
11F. ZadinaR000-150.26200—14:37
92V. NamestnikovC000-110.08000014:18
73A. ErneL000-100.08000—13:07
48G. SmithR000-100.00200—12:26
27M. RasmussenC000-110.070204011:51
89S. GagnerC000-130.040022510:47
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)23185.7832.63-2.3731:01
39A. Nedeljkovic16151.9381.10+0.1028:59

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).