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Bruins at Golden Knights
NHL

Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 11:03 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 36, VGK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Robin Lehner stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (3 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G), 3. David Pastrnak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. Smith3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS110116310536
VGKVGK012113111236

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:18

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    11:03
  2. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    17:34

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    8:14
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    14:39
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    16:38
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:20

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:40VGKZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

2nd

  • 2:32BOSErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

3rd

  • 1:59BOSTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalBOS goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2nd 11:03 — BOS 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.18J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.17E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.13S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.12A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsVGK
3.74 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS55%45%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsVGK
36
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000000.00020—23:29
28D. ForbortD011+200.00210—21:15
25B. CarloD011+120.05240—20:27
48M. GrzelcykD011+200.00100—19:01
63B. MarchandL000+260.45010—18:00
37P. BergeronC000060.544005317:05
75C. CliftonD000+200.00430—17:00
71T. HallL000-230.10200—16:53
6M. ReillyD000-100.00010—16:43
88D. PastrnakR202+171.44100—16:28
13C. CoyleC011+200.000003815:34
12C. SmithC303+340.18100015:19
11T. FredericC033+330.12410015:09
56E. HaulaL022+140.412024615:05
92T. NosekL000-100.001224414:57
74J. DeBruskL000010.40210—13:16
17N. FolignoL000000.00230—10:13
38J. FrodenR000000.00010—10:06
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)36342.9442.01+0.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).