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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV NBCSCH, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 2:23. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 2:23 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 32, CHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Lafferty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    S. Lafferty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM2110511600332
CHICHI2801211012432

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:34
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:35
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:55
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    19:26

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:49
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    19:10

Overtime

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (38), S. Jones (32)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    2:23

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:22CHIserved by D. Kubalik · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:27CHIserved by D. Kubalik · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:34EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 17:34CHISam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 0:36EDMDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 5:50CHICalvin de Haan · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:41CHIConnor Murphy · High stickingdrawn by Brad Malone2 min

OT

  • 0:59EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 2:23 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.46P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.30S. Lafferty · Goal · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.11J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.07C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI4 G · 3.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
2.53 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM45%55%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
32
Shots on goal
32
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
32
16
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011020.06140—27:09
97C. McDavidC022+120.152106726:44
29L. DraisaitlC112+120.180025225:00
18Z. HymanL000+150.42002—22:59
91E. KaneL202+170.5910010022:02
5C. CeciD000-100.03240—21:36
56K. YamamotoR000-130.25100—21:18
2D. KeithD000010.02022—20:45
75E. BouchardD011+140.19100—20:40
71R. McLeodC000-120.260007518:30
10D. RyanC000-120.243105014:33
37W. FoegeleL000000.00000—13:01
84W. LagessonD000020.02410—12:59
14D. ShoreC000000.00200009:54
24B. MaloneC000-200.005005009:20
80M. NiemelainenD000-100.00120—08:52
22T. BarrieD011-100.04010—05:45
70C. SceviourC000-200.00000002:47
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(O)32284.8752.80-1.2061:38

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).