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Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSW, NESN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Boston Bruins 4-3. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 19:38 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 56% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were BOS 34, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 A), 3. Nick Foligno (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Zegras1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    N. Foligno1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS17114113334
ANAANA3907112428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:33
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:15
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:53
  4. ANA
    T. Terry (19), R. Getzlaf (27)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:03

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:15

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall (28), E. Haula (15)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    1:52
  2. ANA
    T. Zegras(14)PPG
    snapxG 0.05win prob +42 pts
    3-4
    19:38

Penalties

BOS 11 PIM·ANA 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:20ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 2:20BOSNick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 5:35BOSBrad Marchand · Cross checkingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

2nd

  • 2:51ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 4:03BOSTaylor Hall · Interferencedrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

3rd

  • 19:14BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalBOS goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, 3rd 19:38 — ANA 56% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Lundeström · Goal · xG 0.23R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.19A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.15K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsANA
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS43%57%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsANA
34
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
23
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-110.05222—26:49
25B. CarloD112+250.12110—21:14
6M. ReillyD000-120.10300—20:34
48M. GrzelcykD000+210.02110—19:19
28D. ForbortD000000.00140—18:28
71T. HallL011+110.00112—18:06
37P. BergeronC000030.080006317:36
63B. MarchandL000-120.50202—17:08
88D. PastrnakR101040.39110—16:20
56E. HaulaL011+110.220004316:11
74J. DeBruskL000020.07000—15:53
13C. CoyleC000-200.002005914:09
38J. FrodenR000+210.11220—13:30
12C. SmithC000-130.07210012:55
92T. NosekL022+210.012103312:54
11T. FredericC000-110.00100012:44
75C. CliftonD000020.04200—12:02
17N. FolignoL112+240.33005—10:58
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)28244.8572.47-1.5359:48

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).