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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Final/OTTV BSDET, BSSO·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Lucas Raymond scoring at 4:52. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 4:52 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were CAR 30, DET 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Michael Rasmussen (1 G), 2. Lucas Raymond (1 G), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR180821301330
DETDET0111921417441

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(24)PPG
    V. Trocheck (22), T. Teravainen (29)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    13:02

2nd period

  1. DET
    C. Rowney(4)
    S. Gagner (14), A. Erne (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:00

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(8)
    J. Oesterle (5), F. Zadina (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    2:45
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(11)
    B. Pesce (14)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    7:06
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(6)
    B. Skjei (16), N. Niederreiter (13)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +41 pts
    3-2
    16:12
  4. DET
    D. Larkin(27)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +41 pts
    3-3
    16:50

Overtime

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(16)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (22), M. Seider (35)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:52

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:46CARBrett Pesce · Interferencedrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 6:19CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 12:48DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 16:09DETMarc Staal · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 4:07CARSebastian Aho · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

OT

  • 3:13CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, OT 4:52 — DET 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.37R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.26R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.24L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.24T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.21L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.19S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.18D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.18L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.16F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.15F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.14F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.12R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.11J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01
DET4 G · 4.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.93 G
All situations
4 G4.7
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR24%76%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 4.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
30
Shots on goal
41
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD011+110.02022—27:27
74J. SlavinD000020.08020—27:10
16V. TrocheckC011000.001006022:44
76B. SkjeiD011030.14012—22:17
20S. AhoC101-140.570024721:00
86T. TeravainenC011040.5400010020:20
25E. BearD000-100.00010—20:07
37A. SvechnikovR000020.51200—18:18
28I. ColeD000-110.03120—16:27
11J. StaalC101+110.081204515:45
48J. MartinookL000030.18310—15:14
71J. FastR101020.24100—14:57
21N. NiederreiterR011020.27200—13:11
24S. JarvisR000000.00200—12:57
88M. NecasC000-100.002105012:49
64J. ChatfieldD000-130.06110—10:44
82J. KotkaniemiC000-120.181005008:46
78S. LorentzC000-100.00100008:21
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(O)41374.9024.72+0.7264:52

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).