Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 6:53 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 18% to 29%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.2, PHI 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 28, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Atkinson1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Giroux1 G

- ★★★T. Oshie1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-10:11
0-218:38
2nd period
1-26:53
Penalties
1st
- 0:30
Isaac Ratcliffe · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 16:30
Zack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 16:30
Tom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
- 16:30
Zack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
2nd
- 6:39
Isaac Ratcliffe · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 11:20
Nic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 12:31
Martin Fehérváry · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 6:53 — 18% → 29%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.48
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 30
- Hits
- 21
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 7
- Giveaways
- 11
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
