Skip to content
Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV BSFL, SN·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 7:29 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 22, FLA 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (3 G), 2. Mikko Koskinen (44 saves, .936), 3. Aleksander Barkov (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    D. Ryan3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen44 saves, .936
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM173906422
FLAFLA219016112347

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(5)
    W. Foegele (13), D. Shore (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:14
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(12)
    F. Vatrano (7), S. Reinhart (32)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:50
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(24)PPG
    A. Duclair (19), A. Ekblad (35)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    16:38

2nd period

  1. EDM
    D. Ryan(6)
    R. McLeod (7), M. Niemelainen (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:29
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(36)PPG
    C. McDavid (46), T. Barrie (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    10:04
  3. EDM
    D. Ryan(7)
    E. Kane (5), C. McDavid (47)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    19:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(25)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (57), A. Duclair (20)
    slapxG 0.30win prob +7 pts
    4-3
    15:51

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:21EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 0:58FLAserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:39EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 9:00FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 15:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

3rd

  • 6:58EDMEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 15:45EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 2nd 7:29 — EDM 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.36A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.30R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.27S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.24M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.22C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.14F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 5.2 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
2.34 G
All situations
3 G5.2
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.11 G
Power play
2 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM10%90%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 5.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
22
Shots on goal
47
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+220.06932—28:28
22T. BarrieD011+200.00110—22:50
18Z. HymanL000030.30200—22:27
29L. DraisaitlC101+120.291244122:09
5C. CeciD000010.02110—22:00
97C. McDavidC022+140.610125620:25
56K. YamamotoR000020.07030—20:14
91E. KaneL011+110.481125020:14
71R. McLeodC011+100.000002218:51
14D. ShoreC011000.000106015:12
80M. NiemelainenD011000.00500—13:59
10D. RyanC303+240.3000010013:50
37W. FoegeleL011010.08000—12:28
75E. BouchardD000-110.09100—12:21
84W. LagessonD000+110.01100—11:20
86P. BrobergD000000.00100—07:12
16T. BensonL000000.00010—06:20
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000000.001103303:17
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)47443.9365.18+2.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).