Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Coyotes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 3:16 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals were close — VGK 4.2, ARI 4.0; shots on goal were VGK 44, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Scott Wedgewood stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 3.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (43 saves, .977), 2. Nick Schmaltz (2 G), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Wedgewood43 saves, .977

- ★★N. Schmaltz2 G

- ★★★S. Gostisbehere1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-011:03
1-114:16
3rd period
1-23:16
1-319:29
Penalties
1st
- 1:47
Nick Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
- 4:59
Lawson Crouse · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
- 15:20
Michael Amadio · Interferencedrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
2nd
- 18:13
Zach Whitecloud · High stickingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
3rd
- 8:17
Chandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 3rd 3:16 — 52% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.21 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.0
- 3.71 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.15 – 2.41
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 44
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 41
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 12
- Giveaways
- 7
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
