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Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

Final/OTTV BSSW, SN360·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime, Tyler Seguin scoring at 0:54. The Jets scored first; the Stars answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 22, DAL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Oettinger (20 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger20 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG110061501222
DALDAL01511111211339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(13)SHG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    1-1
    17:50

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk (20), K. Connor (26)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    4:27
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin (12), J. Benn (12)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +37 pts
    2-2
    13:35

Overtime

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (13)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:54

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:30WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

2nd

  • 0:48WPGJosh Morrissey · High sticking double minordrawn by Joe Pavelski4 min
  • 11:23DALJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 12:44WPGBlake Wheeler · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 16:13DALMichael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 20:00WPGAdam Lowry · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

3rd

  • 3:04DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWPG goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, OT 0:54 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.25J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.19T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.16J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.12T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.08A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.02M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDAL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.60 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG31%69%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-130.18224—23:56
2D. DeMeloD000000.01130—22:46
55M. ScheifeleC112-140.580003622:40
81K. ConnorL011-120.14000—22:28
4N. PionkD022000.00210—21:44
26B. WheelerR101-220.19014—20:54
80P. DuboisC000-210.090005018:17
25P. StastnyC000000.001005818:13
5B. DillonD000+100.05100—16:58
88N. SchmidtD000-110.12000—15:58
17A. LowryC000010.092225015:38
28N. BeaulieuD000-100.00000—15:14
21D. ToninatoC000040.600005012:28
71E. SvechnikovL000000.07210—12:22
22A. PoganskiR000010.23000—10:28
12J. HarkinsC000010.0200010010:27
77A. BrooksC000010.04000006:19
93K. VesalainenL000010.05110—06:06
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)39363.9233.62+0.6260:40

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).