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Flames at Coyotes
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV BSAZ, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tanev's goal at 15:15 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 50, ARI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 46 of 50 (.920). Three stars: 1. Chris Tanev (1 G, 3 A), 2. Blake Coleman (2 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Tanev1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY22611618450
ARIARI18110010228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(9)
    A. Mangiapane (6), C. Tanev (9)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:58
  2. ARI
    A. Galchenyuk(2)
    J. Chychrun (8), C. Keller (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:34
  3. CGY
    E. Lindholm(15)
    J. Gaudreau (36), C. Tanev (10)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:50

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(17)
    N. Schmaltz (11)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:14
  2. CGY
    C. Tanev(3)
    B. Coleman (8), A. Mangiapane (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:15

3rd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(10)
    O. Kylington (16), C. Tanev (11)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    12:06

Penalties

CGY 7 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:53ARILawson Crouse · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 10:40CGYErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 10:40ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min

3rd

  • 14:01ARIJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:57CGYNoah Hanifin · Cross checkingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCGY goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Tanev, 2nd 15:15 — CGY 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.28A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.20A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.18T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.15L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.09A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.09A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.08K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsARI
4.24 G
All situations
2 G3.0
3.74 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY68%32%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.07 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsARI
50
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
28
Hits
33
16
Blocked shots
24
17
Giveaways
16
12
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-120.02210—22:28
28E. LindholmC101061.201005521:51
19M. TkachukL000020.2110010021:29
13J. GaudreauL011070.45000—21:10
8C. TanevD134+420.02210—21:08
58O. KylingtonD011+330.03130—20:47
55N. HanifinD000020.04132—20:22
16N. ZadorovD000-120.05310—17:19
11M. BacklundC000+330.331004316:37
44E. GudbransonD000-130.18105—16:10
20B. ColemanL213+330.24310—14:49
88A. MangiapaneL022+310.16000—14:35
22T. LewisC000050.1342010014:24
17M. LucicL000030.42320—13:18
63A. RuzickaC000020.183006012:10
23S. MonahanC000-130.411105511:11
29D. DubeC000-100.00110009:34
24B. RitchieR000-110.13000—08:38
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)28262.9292.95+0.9560:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).