Wild at Blackhawks 5-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Minnesota Wild

▸5

Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV TNT, TVAS·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 6:56 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.5, CHI 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 35, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cam Talbot (30 saves, 1.000), 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A
★★
C. Talbot30 saves, 1.000
★★★
F. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	013	311	211	535
CHI	08	010	012	030

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

F. Gaudreau(4)PPG
J. Brodin (15), K. Fiala (21)
slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
1-0
4:53
M. Zuccarello(14)
J. Greenway (10), B. Duhaime (8)
wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
2-0
6:56
K. Kaprizov(19)
M. Zuccarello (28)
wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
3-0
14:08

3rd period

K. Fiala(13)
M. Boldy (6), F. Gaudreau (11)
wristxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
4-0
10:38
N. Sturm(8)
C. Dewar (3), V. Rask (8)
wristxG 0.22
5-0
12:02

Penalties

2 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

2:55Henrik Borgstrom · Trippingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
11:22Jordan Greenway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 6:56 — MIN 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att

←

attacks

attacks →

5 G · 2.5 xG · 40 att CHI

0 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.55 G
All situations: 0 G2.4; 2.44 G
Even strength: 0 G2.2; 0.11 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

52%48%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

35
Shots on goal: 30; 48%
Faceoffs: 53%; 1/1
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 2; 28
Hits: 26; 25
Blocked shots: 14; 13
Giveaways: 11; 9
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Minnesota Wild skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
25J. BrodinD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	1	4	0	—	21:22
46J. SpurgeonD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.09	1	1	0	—	20:25
4J. MerrillD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	3	0	—	19:40
8J. BennD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	1	0	—	19:32
47A. GoligoskiD	0	0	0	+2	3	0.08	1	1	0	—	19:00
36M. ZuccarelloR	1	1	2	+2	3	0.32	0	2	0	—	18:24
97K. KaprizovL	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	4	1	0	—	18:20
29D. KulikovD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	2	4	0	—	18:13
38R. HartmanR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	0	0	0	22	17:42
22K. FialaL	1	1	2	+1	3	0.28	0	0	0	—	17:34
12M. BoldyL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	3	0	—	16:27
14J. Eriksson EkC	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	2	0	0	50	15:33
89F. GaudreauC	1	1	2	+1	2	0.17	0	3	0	58	15:10
18J. GreenwayL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	2	0	2	—	14:19
21B. DuhaimeL	0	1	1	0	0	0.07	7	1	0	—	12:28
7N. SturmC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.22	1	1	0	33	12:25
52C. DewarC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	67	11:37
49V. RaskC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	0	0	0	75	09:49

Minnesota Wild goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
33C. Talbot(W)	30	30	0	1.000	2.37	+2.37	60:00

Season series

MIN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

Box score