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Oilers at Capitals
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Washington Capitals
3
FinalTV TNT, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 15:57 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 40% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 27, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Pheonix Copley stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31205210527
WSHWSH16111110327

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(32)
    C. Ceci (10), R. McLeod (3)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:30
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(2)
    D. Keith (12), C. Ceci (11)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:01
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(23)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (31), R. Nugent-Hopkins (27)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    5:07
  4. WSH
    L. Eller(8)
    J. Schultz (9)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    7:36

2nd period

  1. WSH
    C. Sheary(11)
    M. Fehérváry (4), N. Backstrom (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    9:16

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    2:48
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(5)SHG
    Z. Hyman (13)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +42 pts
    4-3
    15:57
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(6)EN
    E. Kane (1), D. Keith (13)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    18:55

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:18WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

2nd

  • 15:42EDMDuncan Keith · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

3rd

  • 6:42EDMKailer Yamamoto · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 15:37EDMTyson Barrie · Hookingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalEDM goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 3rd 15:57 — EDM 40% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.21N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.16E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.15J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.11D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.11L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.10J. Snively · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snively · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snively · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Snively · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH3 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWSH
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM36%64%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWSH
27
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.14230—26:17
75E. BouchardD000-120.10020—24:18
5C. CeciD022+210.04230—23:31
97C. McDavidC101+130.290004721:32
2D. KeithD022+110.03132—19:41
56K. YamamotoR000+200.06302—18:51
29L. DraisaitlC112020.330004418:40
18Z. HymanL011+120.13100—17:40
91E. KaneL112+230.14700—16:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC213+241.030005716:17
13J. PuljujarviR000010.08100—14:20
22T. BarrieD000030.12002—13:52
71R. McLeodC011010.01000013:46
10D. RyanC000-100.003102512:00
84W. LagessonD000000.00310—11:44
44Z. KassianR000-100.00210—09:12
14D. ShoreC000-200.001008308:40
37W. FoegeleL000-210.04000—06:48
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)27243.8892.78-0.2260:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).