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San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 2:45. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 2:45 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 21, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. James Reimer stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS07161701221
TBLTBL092901212332

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:32
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:50
  3. TBL
    A. Killorn(15)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    18:08

3rd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(14)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    1:12

Overtime

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:45

Penalties

SJS 12 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:07SJSNicolas Meloche · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 10:58TBLJan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 11:58TBLCal Foote · Interferencedrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 16:02SJSRudolfs Balcers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:51SJSLogan Couture · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:24TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:24SJSTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 18:24SJSTimo Meier · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy2 min

3rd

  • 0:31TBLSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

OT

  • 2:06TBLRyan McDonagh · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 2:06SJSTimo Meier · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalSJS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 2:45 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.10V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsTBL
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS35%65%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
43
Hits
37
11
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011-230.06220—28:11
38M. FerraroD000-110.03250—27:21
48T. HertlC000-130.480005323:41
94A. BarabanovL011-100.11300—19:56
28T. MeierR000000.06406—19:46
44M. VlasicD011+100.00110—18:01
39L. CoutureC112+150.352025317:54
24J. MegnaD000000.02410—16:09
13N. BoninoC000-110.052105915:43
21J. MiddletonD000+100.00400—15:33
11A. CoglianoC000-110.02300015:31
83M. NietoL000-100.00300—15:04
76J. DahlenC000+120.27010014:12
92R. BalcersL101+120.38302—13:30
53N. MelocheD000000.00302—12:47
18L. PedersonC000020.184005010:19
73N. GregorL000000.03100—09:53
42J. GadjovichL000010.10200—08:27
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)32293.9063.07+0.0762:45

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).