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Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW+, NESN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Boston Bruins 6-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 15:23 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 26, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 12 of 14 (.857); Jake Oettinger stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Oettinger (25 saves, .962), 3. Alexander Radulov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0100818126
DALDAL2112929629

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:54
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:23

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:31
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    7:39

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.11
    0-5
    4:55
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.08
    1-5
    5:49
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.10
    1-6
    18:53

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 8:37DALJamie Benn · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 14:49BOSCurtis Lazar · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

3rd

  • 4:13BOSDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 9:08BOSBrandon Carlo · Hookingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalBOS goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 1st 15:23 — DAL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.31R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.25A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.21J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.11T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.06R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL6 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsDAL
1.71 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.51 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS31%69%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58U. VaakanainenD000-220.03010—22:09
73C. McAvoyD000-140.08020—21:32
25B. CarloD000-100.00222—20:49
48M. GrzelcykD000010.01110—19:20
88D. PastrnakR000-230.37210—18:09
6M. ReillyD000-210.05220—18:04
63B. MarchandL000-110.11000—17:53
37P. BergeronC000020.121006117:40
28D. ForbortD000-200.00202—16:25
71T. HallL000-230.11100—15:54
13C. CoyleC011-110.180004015:37
20C. LazarC000010.025222514:05
12C. SmithC101-110.08300013:57
74J. DeBruskL011010.07300—13:48
81A. BlidhL000-100.00000—13:00
92T. NosekL000-120.201302912:57
29S. FogartyC000-210.080004012:54
62O. SteenC000-120.1501010011:05
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman14122.8571.51-0.4932:21
35L. Ullmark(L)15114.7331.17-2.8327:39

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).