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Kings at Penguins
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSW·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Moore's goal at 13:21 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.8, PIT 3.0; shots on goal were LAK 38, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Moore (2 G), 2. Bryan Rust (2 G), 3. Anze Kopitar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Moore2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK011315112438
PITPIT0911126326

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Iafallo(14)
    A. Kopitar (26)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:17
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(12)PPG
    E. Malkin (8), K. Letang (34)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    8:29
  3. LAK
    T. Moore(6)
    J. Moverare (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:35
  4. LAK
    D. Doughty(5)
    A. Kopitar (27), A. Kempe (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    13:49

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(11)
    K. Letang (35)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    6:17
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(12)PPG
    S. Crosby (26), J. Guentzel (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    10:02
  3. LAK
    T. Moore(7)
    B. Lizotte (7)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +37 pts
    4-3
    13:21

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:55LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 17:45PITBrian Boyle · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min

2nd

  • 7:07LAKQuinton Byfield · Slashingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 12:40PITJohn Marino · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 13:10LAKAndreas Athanasiou · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

3rd

  • 9:55LAKserved by A. Kaliyev · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:32PITJake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalLAK goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Moore, 3rd 13:21 — LAK 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.27J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.26E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.21B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.14E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.13B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.06R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Zohorna · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 3.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsPIT
2.84 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK40%60%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
56
12
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101+330.44110—26:33
50S. DurziD000020.06000—20:40
57J. MoverareD011+230.08230—18:59
11A. KopitarC022+240.170106718:50
24P. DanaultC000000.100104818:34
7T. BjornfotD000-130.09400—18:32
9A. KempeR011+200.01000—17:44
6O. MaattaD000+100.00000—17:40
19A. IafalloL101+140.18000—16:28
12T. MooreL202+130.301003316:14
33V. ArvidssonL000040.6911010015:57
71A. StrandD000+100.00110—15:16
34A. KaliyevR000+130.17020—13:52
22A. AthanasiouC000040.16002013:11
46B. LizotteC011+110.051005612:18
23D. BrownR000000.00010—11:31
48B. LemieuxL000010.20110—11:27
55Q. ByfieldR000030.140042911:00
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)26233.8853.01+0.0159:48

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).