Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Dallas Stars 5-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 7:54 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 63% to 74%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.5, DAL 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 29, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vitek Vanecek (29 saves, 1.000).
Three stars
- ★N. Backstrom1 G, 2 A

- ★★C. McMichael1 G, 1 A

- ★★★V. Vanecek29 saves, 1.000

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:29
2-07:54
3-013:08
2nd period
4-012:03
5-016:50
Penalties
1st
- 1:19
Roope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
- 7:21
Miro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
- 15:07
Carl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
2nd
- 6:03
John Carlson · High sticking double minordrawn by Jamie Benn4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: John Carlson, 1st 7:54 — 63% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.55 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.6
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.7
- 0.42 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.54
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 37%
- Faceoffs
- 63%
- 2/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 14
- Hits
- 17
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 19
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
5@
0this game
3@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
