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Golden Knights at Panthers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 19:31 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 35% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 25, FLA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Spencer Knight (24 saves, .960), 3. Sam Bennett (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Knight24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1110905125
FLAFLA11416212432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:51
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(19)SHG
    slapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:31

2nd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:18

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.84win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:06
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.85
    1-4
    19:31

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:43FLACarter Verhaeghe · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 2:12VGKNicolas Hague · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 3:44FLASam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Robin Lehner2 min
  • 6:28FLAserved by O. Tippett · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 20:00VGKKeegan Kolesar · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalVGK goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 1st 19:31 — FLA 35% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.85M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.84S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.69E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.20A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.18O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.10M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 4.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsFLA
2.01 G
All situations
2 G4.9
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK41%59%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
32
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
37
14
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
22
13
Takeaways
27

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011-230.20000—23:59
7A. PietrangeloD000-330.07220—23:12
67M. PaciorettyL000-320.34020—20:18
20C. StephensonC000-310.050106320:06
61M. StoneR000-210.24000—19:24
2Z. WhitecloudD101+120.15630—19:16
14N. HagueD000-100.00322—19:16
81J. MarchessaultR000-220.09200—16:50
19R. SmithR000-210.02300—16:21
63E. DadonovL000-110.06100—16:17
71W. KarlssonC000-130.410107916:06
3B. McNabbD000010.05400—14:59
10N. RoyC000+120.142103614:38
52D. CoghlanD000010.01210—13:44
26M. JanmarkC011+100.0111010012:56
41N. PatrickC000000.101007510:35
28W. CarrierL000000.06200—10:33
55K. KolesarR000020.02202—10:03
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)30282.9332.51+0.5159:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).