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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 4:36. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:36 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 6.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 50, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 92% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Spencer Martin stopped 47 of 50 (.940), 3.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Spencer Martin (47 saves, .940), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 3. Tyler Motte (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    S. Martin47 saves, .940
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Motte1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM01501121519350
VANVAN010270901227

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    14:26
  2. VAN
    T. Motte(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    17:13

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:33
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:24

Overtime

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:36

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:32VANBrad Hunt · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 13:16EDMConnor McDavid · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 13:16VANMatthew Highmore · Embellishmentdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 15:21VANJuho Lammikko · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 8:04VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 12:23EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 4:36 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.23J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.20B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.17A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.14T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.13T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
6.13 G
All situations
2 G2.2
5.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM92%8%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.84 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
50
Shots on goal
27
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
25
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112+160.970025727:28
75E. BouchardD000040.36220—26:54
25D. NurseD011+110.15200—26:53
29L. DraisaitlC1010111.691105526:15
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011040.52000022:56
2D. KeithD000-130.27030—22:39
13J. PuljujarviR000020.48102—21:53
5C. CeciD000-130.10020—19:58
37W. FoegeleL000-150.32100—17:36
56K. YamamotoR000060.92000—17:07
6K. RussellD011+100.00010—12:21
44Z. KassianR000+120.14300—11:38
20S. KoekkoekD011+110.05100—10:15
42B. PerliniL000+110.02110—09:31
71R. McLeodC101+110.030007509:26
14D. ShoreC000000.001004009:20
70C. SceviourC000000.05000009:20
10D. RyanC000000.0000010008:34
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)27252.9262.22+0.2264:20

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).