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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV TVAS, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 7:46 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 40, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Josh Morrissey (1 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM115213112440
WPGWPG0501128224

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    12:17

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:46
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    10:50

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(4)SHG
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    10:45
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(29)PPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    14:38
  3. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.35win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    19:57

Penalties

EDM 14 PIM·WPG 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:28EDMBrendan Perlini · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 5:58EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:57WPGDominic Toninato · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 9:48EDMZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 10:11WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 15:52EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 0:21WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 7:38WPGEvgeny Svechnikov · Interferencedrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 7:38WPGEvgeny Svechnikov · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 14:12EDMDerek Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 17:55EDMserved by K. Yamamoto · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:10EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 19:10WPGJosh Morrissey · Interferencedrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 2nd 7:46 — EDM 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.27B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.19P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.19B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.11E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.06K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06A. Poganski · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02K. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG2 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.93 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM67%33%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/5
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
13
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101+370.71220—27:42
29L. DraisaitlC011+110.220225824:49
18Z. HymanL101+140.26106—22:24
97C. McDavidC123+260.590105021:45
5C. CeciD000+110.03020—21:31
22T. BarrieD022+140.12030—20:29
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.351004619:41
91E. KaneL000-130.4600010019:12
56K. YamamotoR101+230.38110—17:01
71R. McLeodC000-100.110005016:11
84W. LagessonD000020.02010—13:48
75E. BouchardD000000.17100—13:19
80M. NiemelainenD000020.05300—13:09
37W. FoegeleL000010.21200—10:04
16T. BensonL000020.05200—09:10
10D. RyanC000000.000026008:59
86P. BrobergD000010.01000—06:34
42B. PerliniL000010.10002—03:48
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)24222.9172.47+0.4760:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).