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Canucks at Hurricanes
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, SNP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 1:02 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.7, CAR 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 31, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1708016131
CARCAR112210111433

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(16)PPG
    T. Teravainen (18), T. DeAngelo (19)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    8:17
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(12)
    L. Schenn (5)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:24

2nd period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(8)
    A. Svechnikov (15), M. Necas (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:02
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(8)
    A. Svechnikov (16), V. Trocheck (16)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:49

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Lorentz(6)
    B. Skjei (9), B. Pesce (11)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    4:09

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:49CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 7:39VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:38CARJoey Keane · Holdingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 17:09CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 7:51CARIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 11:13VANJuho Lammikko · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 16:12VANBo Horvat · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:12CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

3rd

  • 10:00CARIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalVAN goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 2nd 1:02 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Keane · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Keane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCAR
2.71 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN50%50%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCAR
31
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/5
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
37
Hits
36
18
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000000.03000—23:44
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-210.02210—22:04
57T. MyersD000-220.03422—20:51
9J. MillerC000-100.001105620:07
6B. BoeserR000050.44140—20:06
53B. HorvatC101-150.413026517:58
5T. PoolmanD000040.16230—17:33
40E. PetterssonC000-110.322005017:12
70T. PearsonL000-120.26220—17:07
77B. HuntD000010.03020—16:23
92V. PodkolzinR000000.00300—14:11
8C. GarlandR000-130.44200—14:00
64T. MotteC000020.15310013:53
2L. SchennD011010.02610—13:48
15M. HighmoreC000000.07110013:14
91J. LammikkoC000000.003026212:32
21N. HoglanderL000-120.20100—10:34
18J. DickinsonC000020.121007010:06
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)33294.8792.74-1.2659:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).