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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 13:30 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals were close — NYR 1.4, PHI 1.5; shots on goal were NYR 27, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (1 G), 2. Cam York (1 G), 3. Adam Fox (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. York1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1801227327
PHIPHI1607115228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (33), A. Panarin (27)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:54
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:45

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    10:11
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:48
  3. NYR
    A. Fox (34), K. Kakko (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +37 pts
    3-2
    13:30

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:08PHIClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

2nd

  • 5:28PHIKevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Greg McKegg2 min
  • 9:42NYRK'Andre Miller · Holdingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 13:30 — NYR 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.20T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Cates · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.00J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 1.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
1.43 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR48%52%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 1.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022+110.03030—24:13
8J. TroubaD000060.10260—22:58
93M. ZibanejadC101+150.250104221:10
20C. KreiderL101+120.261006720:17
12P. NemethD000-100.00020—20:01
55R. LindgrenD000+110.01220—19:53
24K. KakkoR011+110.09110—19:26
79K. MillerD000-110.04212—17:59
10A. PanarinL022010.05100—17:41
16R. StromeC011000.000106317:18
72F. ChytilC101040.2801010015:48
17K. RooneyC000-100.001003813:42
14G. McKeggC000-100.00000012:59
45B. SchneiderD000010.04200—12:51
75R. ReavesR000-100.11400—12:31
47M. BarronC000010.002006010:06
15J. GauthierR000020.10200—09:37
26T. GettingerL000010.06300—09:34
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)28262.9291.49-0.5159:56

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).