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Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV BSSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 4-3 in overtime, Taylor Hall scoring at 1:41. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 1:41 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 29, BOS 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 0.9 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH1611111101329
BOSBOS21001811313444

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:20
  2. BOS
    E. Haula (9), T. Hall (17)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:37
  3. NSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:30

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    7:32

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    3:50
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    6:26

Overtime

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:41

Penalties

NSH 7 PIM·BOS 9 PIM

2nd

  • 3:43BOSDerek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 3:43NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
  • 4:15BOSBrandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 2:07NSHTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 13:34BOSUrho Vaakanainen · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, OT 1:41 — BOS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.23D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.19J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.15P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10O. Steen · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewington · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02A. Blidh · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewington · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsBOS
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH32%68%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsBOS
29
Shots on goal
44
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
46
Hits
45
8
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101+190.24230—29:32
64M. GranlundC000010.022004822:58
28E. TolvanenR000-100.22600—21:22
95M. DucheneC000030.50200020:57
92R. JohansenC000-130.152008020:25
45A. CarrierD000-210.03200—19:36
57D. FabbroD011+100.02410—18:21
5M. BenningD000-120.02100—17:53
90M. BorowieckiD011+110.01120—17:17
11L. KuninC101010.05500017:08
21N. CousinsC011010.13200016:05
84T. JeannotL000-110.03602—15:54
10C. SissonsC101-120.405005515:49
13Y. TreninC000+120.11210015:40
55P. MyersD000+120.09010—14:54
26P. TomasinoR011+100.02300—06:43
47M. McCarronC000+100.001056706:31
24M. LuffR000+200.00000—06:15
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)44404.9093.10-0.9061:41

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).