Rangers at Ducks 4-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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New York Rangers

▸4

Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jarred Tinordi's goal at 1:46 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 40, ANA 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 13 of 14 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G), 2. Troy Terry (1 A), 3. Chris Kreider.

Three stars

★
M. Zibanejad1 G
★★
T. Terry1 A
★★★
C. Kreider

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	012	18	320	440
ANA	07	14	03	114

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

I. Lundestrom(8)
T. Terry (14)
wristxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
0-1
11:05
M. Zibanejad(12)
K. Kakko (8), J. Trouba (10)
wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
1-1
14:00

3rd period

J. Tinordi(1)
K. Rooney (2), F. Chytil (5)
slapxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
2-1
1:46
R. Lindgren(3)
A. Fox (31), M. Barron (1)
snapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
3-1
10:02
R. Lindgren(4)EN
B. Goodrow (10)
wristxG 0.93
4-1
19:29

Penalties

6 PIM·

10 PIM

1st

6:43Trevor Zegras · High sticking double minordrawn by Morgan Barron4 min

2nd

15:44Barclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

3rd

8:00Jakob Silfverberg · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
10:50Greg McKegg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
11:58served by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min
16:38Cam Fowler · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
17:23Ryan Lindgren · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ANA

Biggest swing: Jarred Tinordi, 3rd 1:46 — NYR 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.0 xG · 39 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att ANA

1 G · 2.0 xG · 39 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.93 G
All situations: 1 G2.0; 1.73 G
Even strength: 1 G1.6; 1.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.4; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

67%33%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

40
Shots on goal: 14; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/5
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 10; 22
Hits: 17; 13
Blocked shots: 9; 14
Giveaways: 13; 7
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
23A. FoxD	0	1	1	+2	1	0.02	0	1	0	—	25:21
55R. LindgrenD	2	0	2	+2	3	1.00	1	1	2	—	23:34
8J. TroubaD	0	1	1	0	5	0.16	2	2	0	—	21:28
21B. GoodrowC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	1	1	2	33	20:55
79K. MillerD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	—	20:05
20C. KreiderL	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	2	0	0	100	18:54
16R. StromeC	0	0	0	0	6	0.36	0	0	0	67	18:49
93M. ZibanejadC	1	0	1	0	4	0.61	0	2	0	47	18:05
13A. LafrenièreL	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	1	0	0	—	17:11
24K. KakkoR	0	1	1	0	2	0.35	0	0	0	—	16:02
17K. RooneyC	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	2	1	0	11	13:55
27N. LundkvistD	0	0	0	+1	5	0.28	0	0	0	—	13:32
72F. ChytilC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	0	13:22
5J. TinordiD	1	0	1	+1	2	0.02	3	3	0	—	12:56
14G. McKeggC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	0	10:54
47M. BarronC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	2	0	0	88	10:19
76J. BrodzinskiC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	0	09:33
26T. GettingerL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	—	09:18

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40A. Georgiev(W)	14	13	1	.929	1.96	+0.96	59:47

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Jan 84@1this game
Mar 153@4OTFinal

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score