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Penguins at Stars
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 16:14 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 29, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (1 G), 2. Jason Robertson (3 A), 3. Denis Gurianov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    D. Gurianov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT21101008229
DALDAL07110215332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Dumoulin(2)
    K. Letang (27), J. Guentzel (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:02
  2. PIT
    K. Kapanen(8)
    M. Pettersson (9), J. Carter (9)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:27

2nd period

  1. DAL
    D. Gurianov(6)
    J. Peterson (2), J. Robertson (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    16:01

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(13)
    J. Robertson (17), J. Klingberg (16)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    14:59
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(13)
    M. Heiskanen (16), J. Robertson (18)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +39 pts
    2-3
    16:14

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:10DALJani Hakanpää · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 8:08PITMark Friedman · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 8:08DALAlexander Radulov · Roughingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 10:43PITTeddy Blueger · Cross checkingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 12:23DALJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Carter2 min

3rd

  • 5:48DALDenis Gurianov · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPIT goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 3rd 16:14 — DAL 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.29M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.19R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.18J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.18J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.15J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.13D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.00J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDAL
2.22 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT33%67%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+130.10120—23:26
9E. RodriguesC000040.35340022:28
59J. GuentzelC011030.26000022:20
77J. CarterC011-130.063105421:11
87S. CrosbyC000+140.370005220:56
8B. DumoulinD101+120.11020—20:16
5M. MathesonD000-130.16100—19:29
6J. MarinoD000000.00000—18:10
42K. KapanenR101020.23400—17:31
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.01430—17:05
53T. BluegerC000-130.102024216:56
43D. HeinenL000000.17000—16:06
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.02010—13:57
49D. SimonC000010.20200013:33
28M. PetterssonD011-100.00020—11:36
11B. BoyleC000-100.002103309:16
52M. FriedmanD000-100.02002—06:44
20K. BjorkqvistR000000.00010—05:34
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)32293.9063.18+0.1858:50

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).