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Blues at Penguins
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV TNT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 12:23 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 17% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 29, PIT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.7 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bryan Rust (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0731507329
PITPIT014211316541

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(5)PPG
    T. Krug (13)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(13)
    V. Tarasenko (20), J. Faulk (8)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:45
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(6)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (14), K. Letang (22)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    13:30
  4. STL
    C. Parayko(4)
    B. Schenn (7), S. Perunovich (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:49
  5. PIT
    B. Rust(7)
    S. Crosby (17), J. Guentzel (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    15:46

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(5)
    J. Guentzel (15), J. Marino (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    12:23
  2. PIT
    E. Rodrigues(14)PPG
    K. Letang (23), B. Rust (10)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    12:35
  3. PIT
    B. McGinn(9)
    T. Blueger (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:21

Penalties

STL 22 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:42PITBryan Rust · Interferencedrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

2nd

  • 12:20STLNiko Mikkola · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 12:20PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 12:48STLTorey Krug · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 2:35STLNiko Mikkola · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tristan Jarry2 min
  • 12:23STLserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 14:10STLPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 15:57STLTyler Bozak · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 18:21STLVladimir Tarasenko · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 3rd 12:23 — PIT 17% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.27B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.23K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14K. Bjorkqvist · On goal · xG 0.13B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07K. Bjorkqvist · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT5 G · 3.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsPIT
2.53 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL37%63%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/1
Power play
2/5
22
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD101-110.05030—24:25
72J. FaulkD011020.05400—20:53
47T. KrugD011-130.05102—20:14
77N. MikkolaD000-220.11424—20:05
6M. ScandellaD000000.02410—18:34
18R. ThomasC000030.680102517:47
90R. O'ReillyC000-140.291305217:40
49I. BarbashevL000-110.171103617:15
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.02002—17:10
57D. PerronL000-110.05410—16:11
20B. SaadL000-110.12000—15:57
10B. SchennC112+120.1921010015:25
25J. KyrouR101+120.33000—15:03
91V. TarasenkoR011020.22201010014:23
48S. PerunovichD011+210.03100—12:51
70O. SundqvistC000010.1101010010:59
21T. BozakC000-110.000023309:42
22L. BrownC000000.001003307:54
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)41365.8783.27-1.7358:43

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).