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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

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Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Cale Makar scoring at 2:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 2:38 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 33, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Erik Johnson (2 G), 3. Cale Makar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    E. Johnson2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL214071913433
CHICHI051172801331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    E. Johnson(4)
    N. Kadri (29)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    7:43
  2. COL
    A. Newhook(7)
    N. Aube-Kubel (6)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:54

2nd period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews(4)
    M. Entwistle (3), S. Jones (21)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:47

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(19)PPG
    P. Kane (20), S. Jones (22)
    slapxG 0.21win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:18
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(20)PPG
    P. Kane (21), D. Strome (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    2:58
  3. COL
    E. Johnson(5)
    A. Burakovsky (10), N. Kadri (30)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    11:44

Overtime

  1. COL
    C. Makar(14)
    N. MacKinnon (25), G. Landeskog (19)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:38

Penalties

COL 11 PIM·CHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:03CHIConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog5 min
  • 3:03COLGabriel Landeskog · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min
  • 8:41CHIHenrik Borgstrom · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 14:38CHIKirby Dach · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 19:24COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 0:34COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 1:30COLTyson Jost · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, OT 2:38 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.21B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.21A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.15K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.13M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.12R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.11H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.09D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.07M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL46%54%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD101+240.31110—28:32
7D. ToewsD000030.23020—28:05
29N. MacKinnonC011020.331125423:59
96M. RantanenR000-130.383003323:15
49S. GirardD000000.00110—22:46
92G. LandeskogL011030.155256021:20
4B. ByramD000010.01400—20:22
37J. CompherL000+230.230303020:17
91N. KadriC022+200.210007817:38
95A. BurakovskyL011+200.00100—17:28
25L. O'ConnorR000+100.09100—13:22
6E. JohnsonD202+250.10312—12:58
18A. NewhookC101+140.331106012:18
17T. JostC000030.091023311:36
16N. Aube-KubelR011+100.00700—09:39
43D. HelmC000000.0020010007:16
3J. JohnsonD000+100.00000—07:01
56K. MacDermidL000020.04000—04:50
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)31283.9032.77-0.2362:38

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).