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Stars at Coyotes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Utah Mammoth
▸3
FinalTV BSAZ+, BSSW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 17:05 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 33, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 2 A), 2. Scott Wedgewood (32 saves, .970), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    S. Wedgewood32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0719017133
ARIARI01221015327

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(14)
    N. Schmaltz (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:13
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(22)
    J. Pavelski (32), M. Heiskanen (24)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:10
  3. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(9)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (22), C. Keller (24)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    17:05

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(20)EN
    N. Schmaltz (13), D. Mayo (3)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:25

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:34DALTyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 16:08DALAlexander Radulov · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 13:49ARIAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 15:21DALDenis Gurianov · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

3rd

  • 5:17ARIAlex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalDAL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 2nd 17:05 — ARI 54% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.55T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.14T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsARI
3.61 G
All situations
2 G2.1
3.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL82%18%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 1.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsARI
33
Shots on goal
27
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011040.25120—24:49
20R. SuterD000+130.35000—24:15
3J. KlingbergD000-240.12030—22:36
24R. HintzC101+120.281002520:29
16J. PavelskiC011020.493106720:24
21J. RobertsonL000040.84010—20:19
91T. SeguinC000-140.321028317:28
23E. LindellD000-130.06120—16:00
55T. HarleyD000010.07200—15:46
11L. GlendeningC000010.092207514:51
12R. FaksaC000010.093006714:23
18M. RafflL000000.00010—14:15
2J. HakanpääD000000.00200—14:04
47A. RadulovR000-100.12012—12:42
14J. BennL000020.461004312:18
34D. GurianovR000-120.04202—11:54
40J. PetersonC000-100.060107510:40
25J. KivirantaL000-100.00200—08:15
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)26242.9231.54-0.4658:48

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).