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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ALT, BSSD·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Avalanche came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 18:49 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 31, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11211306231
COLCOL012112312436

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    S. Carrick(8)
    K. Shattenkirk (13), T. Terry (13)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:55

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(5)PPG
    M. Comtois (2), K. Shattenkirk (14)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:22
  2. COL
    D. Toews(5)PPG
    M. Rantanen (17), N. Kadri (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:47

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(10)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (22), C. Makar (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    3:19
  2. COL
    L. O'Connor(6)
    N. MacKinnon (23), M. Rantanen (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +43 pts
    2-3
    18:49
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(15)EN
    N. MacKinnon (24)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:28

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:31ANAJakob Silfverberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 10:30COLJ.T. Compher · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min

2nd

  • 1:37COLSamuel Girard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:11ANADerek Grant · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 11:47ANAJosh Manson · Elbowingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:34COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 14:34ANAMaxime Comtois · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 2:58ANASam Steel · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 6:34ANAserved by T. Terry · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 3rd 18:49 — COL 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.59L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.18G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.09A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.71 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD101-130.33060—26:14
47H. LindholmD000-100.00510—23:58
42J. MansonD000020.11212—21:35
33J. SilfverbergR000-250.1600210019:42
34J. DrysdaleD000-110.03000—18:47
21I. LundestromC000020.060103618:39
22K. ShattenkirkD022030.09030—18:38
19T. TerryR011040.74100—18:06
44M. ComtoisL011-130.263024017:59
38D. GrantC000-100.001125316:59
67R. RakellR000-110.04110—16:17
39S. CarrickC101010.212006713:13
20N. DeslauriersL000+120.19110—11:55
23S. SteelC000020.171026310:37
86S. BenoitD000+100.00300—10:03
28V. LettieriC000020.04000009:41
12S. MilanoL000000.08000—09:09
53B. RobinsonR000000.00100—08:58
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)35323.9142.52-0.4859:33

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).