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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸7
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-4. The Hurricanes came back from 4 goals down. The Blue Jackets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ethan Bear's goal at 10:50 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 49, CBJ 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 8 of 9 (.889), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Skjei (2 G), 2. Steven Lorentz (2 G), 3. Gustav Nyquist (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Skjei2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Lorentz2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    G. Nyquist1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR018215516749
CBJCBJ391702418

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(6)
    J. Roslovic (9), E. Bemstrom (1)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:54
  2. CBJ
    A. Boqvist(7)
    G. Nyquist (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:30
  3. CBJ
    G. Nyquist(6)SHG
    A. Texier (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    18:04

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Texier(11)
    E. Robinson (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    8:39
  2. CAR
    S. Lorentz(4)
    T. DeAngelo (17), D. Stepan (4)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:11
  3. CAR
    B. Skjei(2)
    A. Svechnikov (14), S. Jarvis (8)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    14:05

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei(3)
    B. Pesce (8), V. Trocheck (13)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    6:53
  2. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(10)
    I. Cole (4), F. Andersen (4)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +31 pts
    4-4
    10:34
  3. CAR
    E. Bear(2)
    M. Necas (12), J. Kotkaniemi (8)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +33 pts
    5-4
    10:50
  4. CAR
    S. Lorentz(5)
    S. Jarvis (9)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +15 pts
    6-4
    11:59
  5. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(10)EN
    V. Trocheck (14)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    17:30

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:08CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 19:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 19:45CBJGustav Nyquist · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 5:59CARDerek Stepan · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 11:25CARIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 15:48CBJBoone Jenner · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Ethan Bear, 3rd 10:50 — CAR 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.47G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.20Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.19A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.18A. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.16E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.15B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.14S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.13G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.10A. Texier · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.7 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
5.36 G
All situations
4 G2.7
3.96 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR73%27%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.26 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
49
Shots on goal
18
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
9
7
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+110.09010—23:03
76B. SkjeiD202+470.34010—22:35
22B. PesceD011+240.08100—22:32
77T. DeAngeloD011+130.07130—22:27
16V. TrocheckC022-110.612106917:47
37A. SvechnikovR112+281.75112—17:36
86T. TeravainenC000-150.2300010017:08
20S. AhoC000-120.061006317:05
88M. NecasC011020.02000016:46
21N. NiederreiterR101030.36000—15:39
11J. StaalC000+110.220006215:17
24S. JarvisR022+210.28300—14:21
71J. FastR000+220.40000—14:06
28I. ColeD011-100.00002—13:43
82J. KotkaniemiC011+150.341003313:39
25E. BearD101020.02100—11:06
18D. StepanC011+200.000025009:51
78S. LorentzC202+120.4300010009:23
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)981.8891.60+0.6039:56
32A. Raanta963.6671.12-1.8820:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).