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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸2
Ottawa Senators
0
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 7:25 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 44, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (42 saves, .977), 2. Casey DeSmith (26 saves, 1.000), 3. Jeff Carter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Murray42 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith26 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Carter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT012113119244
OTTOTT01101005026

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(13)
    K. Letang (37)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:25

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(16)EN
    S. Crosby (29), J. Guentzel (26)
    backhandxG 0.94win prob +6 pts
    2-0
    19:48

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:32OTTChris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min

2nd

  • 2:47OTTAustin Watson · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 9:00PITMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 2nd 7:25 — PIT 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.26C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.16D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.15A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.11N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.08A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT0 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
3.51 G
All situations
0 G2.0
2.01 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT61%39%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
44
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
39
14
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. DumoulinD000+200.01130—24:25
58K. LetangD011+250.14220—23:38
59J. GuentzelC011+160.48110021:01
17B. RustR101+151.21010—20:28
87S. CrosbyC011+160.400106120:16
6J. MarinoD000010.02100—19:32
5M. MathesonD000030.08030—18:56
77J. CarterC101+160.484106016:01
23B. McGinnL000+110.19200—15:41
28M. PetterssonD000010.02402—15:37
42K. KapanenR000+120.03410—14:45
2C. RuhwedelD000010.04410—14:38
9E. RodriguesC000000.00000013:28
11B. BoyleC000030.072004013:17
43D. HeinenL000010.14000—12:57
67R. ZohornaL000010.071005012:44
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.03200—11:14
49D. SimonC000010.07500009:22
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)262601.0001.96+1.9660:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).