Canucks at Ducks 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Vancouver Canucks

▸2

Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV BSW, SNP·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 0:26. The Ducks scored first; the Canucks answered. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 0:26 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 37, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Gibson (35 saves, .946), 3. Quinn Hughes (1 A).

Three stars

★
J. Miller1 G, 1 A
★★
J. Gibson35 saves, .946
★★★
Q. Hughes1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
VAN	08	015	113	11	237
ANA	18	08	07	00	123

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

S. Carrick(7)
N. Deslauriers (4), H. Lindholm (9)
wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
0-1
16:26

3rd period

T. Pearson(5)
Q. Hughes (25), J. Miller (23)
wristxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
1-1
1:21

Overtime

J. Miller(11)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
2-1
0:26

Penalties

8 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

8:31Conor Garland · Holdingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
14:10J.T. Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

9:22Ryan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
10:04Quinn Hughes · Holdingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

3rd

3:39Josh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
10:46Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ANA

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 0:26 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.8 xG · 51 att ANA

1 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.82 G
All situations: 1 G2.6; 3.12 G
Even strength: 1 G1.8; 0.70 G
Power play: 0 G0.6; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

68%32%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

37
Shots on goal: 23; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 0/2
Power play: 0/4; 8
Penalty minutes: 4; 30
Hits: 20; 18
Blocked shots: 10; 15
Giveaways: 15; 5
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Vancouver Canucks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
57T. MyersD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	7	4	0	—	24:14
23O. Ekman-LarssonD	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	1	1	2	—	22:53
43Q. HughesD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	—	22:06
2L. SchennD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	2	0	—	21:48
40E. PetterssonC	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	1	0	7	18:38
9J. MillerC	1	1	2	+2	2	0.30	5	1	2	59	18:13
53B. HorvatC	0	0	0	-1	6	0.78	3	1	0	60	17:32
92V. PodkolzinR	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	0	1	0	—	16:47
70T. PearsonL	1	0	1	+2	7	0.39	0	3	0	100	16:24
8C. GarlandR	0	0	0	0	5	0.54	1	0	2	—	16:12
39A. ChiassonR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	1	0	0	—	16:06
18J. DickinsonC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	0	14:54
5T. PoolmanD	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	0	0	—	14:29
77B. HuntD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	2	0	—	13:20
21N. HoglanderL	0	0	0	-1	6	0.77	0	0	0	—	12:00
64T. MotteC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	100	11:13
91J. LammikkoC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	71	08:23
73J. DowlingC	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	100	07:56

Vancouver Canucks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35T. Demko(W)	23	22	1	.957	2.58	+1.58	60:26

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

1st period

3rd period

Overtime

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score