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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
4
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, Ondrej Palat scoring at 0:36. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 0:36 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were MTL 31, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 32 of 37 (.865); Maxime Lagace stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 3. Maxime Lagace (27 saves, .871).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Lagace27 saves, .871

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL1911021200431
TBLTBL2101171812537

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    L. Vejdemo(1)
    M. Pezzetta (1), C. Paquette (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:46
  2. TBL
    B. Point(1)
    M. Joseph (1), V. Hedman (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:38
  3. TBL
    B. Point(2)
    A. Killorn (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:10

2nd period

  1. MTL
    R. Harvey-Pinard(1)
    S. Niku (1), C. Schueneman (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:05
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(1)
    S. Stamkos (1), C. Perry (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:11

3rd period

  1. MTL
    K. Clague(1)
    C. Caufield (1), R. Poehling (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    6:11
  2. MTL
    D. Savard(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +36 pts
    4-3
    13:09
  3. TBL
    C. Perry(1)
    A. Killorn (2), B. Point (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +46 pts
    4-4
    19:40

Overtime

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(1)
    V. Hedman (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    0:36

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:24TBLGabriel Fortier · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

2nd

  • 3:53MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 6:09MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:54TBLRiley Nash · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 12:03TBLBoris Katchouk · Throwing equipment2 min
  • 15:18MTLMichael Pezzetta · High sticking double minordrawn by Sean Day4 min
  • 19:49TBLGabriel Fortier · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, OT 0:36 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.51A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.26A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.24C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.23S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · Goal · xG 0.18O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.18V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Goal · xG 0.16B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · Missed · xG 0.13B. Point · Missed · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.11O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.10M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08B. Point · Missed · xG 0.08B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02G. Fortier · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 4.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.94 G
All situations
5 G4.9
2.24 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G2.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL22%78%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 4.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
31
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
34
Hits
37
14
Blocked shots
6
2
Giveaways
3
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. RomanovD000020.09340—26:53
14N. SuzukiC000-230.182305425:24
58D. SavardD101040.44420—25:08
92J. DrouinL000-120.3301010021:09
11B. GallagherR000-220.240123318:43
77B. KulakD000-230.05500—18:30
43K. ClagueD101-110.05100—18:09
71J. EvansC000-230.341005717:36
60A. BelzileR000000.00400—15:06
22C. CaufieldR011+130.25000—13:37
13C. PaquetteC011000.002103013:13
42L. VejdemoC101+110.17010013:01
15S. NikuD011+100.00000—12:59
25R. PoehlingC011+130.331006311:37
64C. SchuenemanD011+110.01110—11:36
55M. PezzettaL011+120.22504—11:10
56J. YlonenR000+100.00100—10:33
49R. Harvey-PinardL101010.15400—09:28
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(O)37325.8654.92-0.0860:22

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).