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Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNOL·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 3-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 7:10 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 41, SJS 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G), 2. Stuart Skinner (20 saves, 1.000), 3. Evan Bouchard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner20 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM211014116341
SJSSJS0100208020

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:05
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    7:10

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    1:50

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:58EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 14:24EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 2:19SJSJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 3:26SJSTomas Hertl · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 8:22EDMWarren Foegele · Slashingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 13:46SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 13:46SJSTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 15:43EDMZach Hyman · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 9:21EDMWarren Foegele · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 1st 7:10 — EDM 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dahlen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03N. Meloche · Missed · xG 0.01N. Meloche · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS0 G · 1.6 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
3.53 G
All situations
0 G1.6
2.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM80%20%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
20
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101+160.20242—23:11
29L. DraisaitlC000020.272003721:58
18Z. HymanL000+150.460022519:22
91E. KaneL000040.36100—18:51
97C. McDavidC101+170.650006718:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+230.280005518:40
22T. BarrieD000+110.11100—18:22
5C. CeciD000010.06100—17:13
56K. YamamotoR000010.14100—15:39
75E. BouchardD022+210.03100—15:01
84W. LagessonD000020.02000—14:55
80M. NiemelainenD000+100.00220—14:18
86P. BrobergD000+110.11010—14:08
13J. PuljujarviR000020.37002—13:39
71R. McLeodC000010.090006713:37
10D. RyanC011+300.0000010013:14
37W. FoegeleL101+240.38104—11:17
16T. BensonL000000.00000—07:58
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)202001.0001.65+1.6559:46

Season series

EDM leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).