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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸8
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV BSFL, TSN5·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Florida Panthers 8-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 16:06 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 38, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 30 of 38 (.789), 4.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (1 G, 1 A), 2. Josh Norris (2 G, 1 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    N. Paul1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11338417838
FLAFLA19113013235

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Watson(2)
    N. Paul (2), T. Chabot (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:38
  2. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(10)
    S. Reinhart (13), L. Carlsson (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:05

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Gambrell(1)SHG
    C. Brown (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    1:30
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)
    A. Lundell (7)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:33
  3. OTT
    J. Norris(13)
    D. Batherson (17), N. Zaitsev (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:06
  4. OTT
    T. Stützle(4)
    C. Brown (11), A. Formenton (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    17:26

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(14)
    D. Batherson (18)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    0:23
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(9)
    J. Norris (8)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    6:10
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    T. Chabot (16), D. Batherson (19)
    slapxG 0.19
    7-2
    14:24
  4. OTT
    N. Paul(4)PPG
    C. Brown (12), T. Ennis (11)
    wristxG 0.18
    8-2
    14:57

Penalties

OTT 21 PIM·FLA 37 PIM

1st

  • 9:04OTTZachary Sanford · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 15:03OTTNikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 19:34OTTJosh Norris · Delaying game face off violation2 min

2nd

  • 5:13FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 11:09OTTAustin Watson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

3rd

  • 2:10OTTChris Tierney · High stickingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 3:43OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 10:10OTTArtem Zub · High sticking double minordrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau4 min
  • 10:10FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Cross checkingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 10:10FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 10:10FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:50FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 12:50FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 12:50OTTZachary Sanford · Fightingdrawn by Sam Bennett5 min
  • 12:50FLASam Bennett · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Sanford5 min
  • 12:57FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:57FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 2nd 16:06 — OTT 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.22O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.22P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.16A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.13M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.11A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA2 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
3.78 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.55 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.82 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT56%44%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
38
Shots on goal
35
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/4
Power play
0/6
21
Penalty minutes
37
26
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD011+210.03012—23:38
5N. HoldenD000-110.00200—23:15
72T. ChabotD022+430.09240—20:56
21N. PaulL112020.271004419:29
2A. ZubD000-100.00326—19:15
16A. WatsonL101060.53532—17:54
98V. MeteD000+310.05110—17:22
28C. BrownR033+210.041005017:13
19D. BathersonR134+350.52230—15:44
18T. StützleC101+240.410305015:35
9J. NorrisC213+350.450225315:34
27D. GambrellC101010.221005015:17
7B. TkachukL101+330.381207815:15
10A. FormentonL011+140.45210—15:14
29D. HeatheringtonD000+100.00310—11:37
63T. EnnisR011-110.1410010008:38
13Z. SanfordL000-100.10117—08:29
71C. TierneyC000-100.000026707:35
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)35332.9433.27+1.2760:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).